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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 8am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Mateus (45' pen.), Junker (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sato (65' pen.)
Mae (19'), Maejima (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, June 3 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka

Nagoya Grampus will be considered the favourites heading into this match due to their league positions and considering the recent form and the struggles Avispa Fukuoka have displayed on the road, it should lead to the hosts taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
50.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.36% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 21.49% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 39.39% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)65% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.11% (-0.061 -0.06)83.89% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)26.37% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)61.52% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.5% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)46.49% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.9% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)82.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 50.15%
    Avispa Fukuoka 21.49%
    Draw 28.35%
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 16.34% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 50.15%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 12.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka

Nagoya Grampus
100%
Draw
0.0%
Avispa Fukuoka
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 11am
gameweek 28
Avispa Fukuoka
2-3
Nagoya Grampus
Croux (21'), Hiratsuka (57')
Nara (90+1')
Miya (67')
Morishita (2'), Nagai (24', 38')
May 25, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 15
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Nakatani (15')
Tiago (43')

Lukian (25'), Mae (28'), Yanagi (67')
Aug 22, 2021 10am
gameweek 25
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Swierczok (49')
Naruse (34')

Salomonsson (64'), Grolli (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4am
gameweek 1
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Nagoya Grampus
Kanamori (82')
Mateus (4', 55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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