J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 25, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Nagoya Grampus1 - 0Avispa Fukuoka
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Urawa vs. Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
Result | ||
Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
47.85% ( 0.06) | 29.45% ( 0) | 22.7% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 38.16% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.77% ( -0.03) | 67.23% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.58% ( -0.02) | 85.42% ( 0.02) |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% ( 0.01) | 28.6% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% ( 0.02) | 64.4% ( -0.02) |
Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.44% ( -0.07) | 46.56% ( 0.07) |