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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Hosoya (27')
Diego (58')
Tatsuta (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ohno (90+3')
Yamamoto (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Shonan Bellmare, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Reysol
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare are the only side in the Japanese top flight without a clean sheet so far, and we expect that to continue here. We are also backing Kashiwa Reysol to narrowly edge out their visitors and come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
44.88% (0.223 0.22) 26.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 28.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 49.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)55.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)76.63%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.10199999999999 0.1)24.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.148 0.15)59.09% (-0.157 -0.16)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.163 -0.16)34.77% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.174 -0.17)71.51% (0.16600000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 44.88%
    Shonan Bellmare 28.34%
    Draw 26.77%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 28.34%

How you voted: Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare

Kashiwa Reysol
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Shonan Bellmare
14.3%
7
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 7am
Gameweek 11
Shonan Bellmare
1-2
Reysol
Sugioka (45+5')
Savio (28'), Hosoya (55')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Feb 19, 2022 6am
Jun 27, 2021 11am
Gameweek 20
Shonan Bellmare
2-4
Reysol
Machino (18'), Wellington (78')
Riuler (48')
Raul (50' pen., 90+12'), Ominami (90+3'), Da Silva (90+9')
Richardson (75'), Raul (82')
Mar 6, 2021 7am
Gameweek 2
Reysol
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Goya (14', 66')
Okamoto (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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