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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 6
Sagan Tosu

FT(HT: 0-2)
Ono (2', 30', 49' pen.), Horigome (63'), Fujiwara (86'), Kabayama (90+3')
Narahara (72'), Horigome (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, June 11 at 10am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Sagan Tosu

 Shonan Bellmare have only won one game in the league in front of their home fans so far this campaign, so we can see the away team prevailing here. Sagan Tosu do not tend to score many goals, so this could be a close encounter, but we expect the visitors to have too much quality this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
46.95% (-2.047 -2.05) 25.28% (0.174 0.17) 27.78% (1.875 1.88)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.975 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (0.558 0.56)49.86% (-0.557 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (0.498 0.5)71.85% (-0.495 -0.5)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.655 -0.66)21.25% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (-1.026 -1.03)54.17% (1.028 1.03)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (1.788 1.79)32.27% (-1.785 -1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24% (1.974 1.97)68.76% (-1.972 -1.97)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 46.95%
    Sagan Tosu 27.78%
    Draw 25.27%
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.532 -0.53)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.95%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.364 0.36)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.317 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.253 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.16 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.78%

How you voted: Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu

Shonan Bellmare
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Sagan Tosu
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 6am
Gameweek 1
Sagan Tosu
1-5
Shonan Bellmare
Ono (45+9')
Ohashi (3', 36', 60'), Hiraoka (45+5'), Onose (64')
Oct 29, 2022 7am
Gameweek 33
Shonan Bellmare
3-0
Sagan Tosu
Machino (7', 21'), Yamamoto (78')
Feb 26, 2022 6am
Gameweek 2
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shonan Bellmare
Oct 16, 2021 6am
Gameweek 32
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shonan Bellmare
Sakai (73')
Machino (19')
Feb 27, 2021 6am
Gameweek 1
Shonan Bellmare
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Nakamura (62')
Hayashi (80' pen.)
Yamashita (5'), Dudu (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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