MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 14:24:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 at 7am UK
Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka

Shonan Bellmare
3 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Machino (7', 21'), Yamamoto (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Koizumi (89')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, October 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 8 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
40.46% (-0.316 -0.32) 27.46% (0.138 0.14) 32.07% (0.175 0.17)
Both teams to score 48.82% (-0.36 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.29% (-0.483 -0.48)56.7% (0.481 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34% (-0.389 -0.39)77.66% (0.38900000000001 0.39)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.399 -0.4)27.48% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.52 -0.52)62.97% (0.519 0.52)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (-0.126 -0.13)32.68% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77% (-0.14 -0.14)69.23% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 40.45%
    Sagan Tosu 32.07%
    Draw 27.46%
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.165 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.62% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.07%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 6am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shonan Bellmare
Fujiwara (24')
Machino (68')
Nagaki (90+1')
Oct 16, 2021 6am
Feb 27, 2021 6am
Shonan Bellmare
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Nakamura (62')
Hayashi (80' pen.)
Yamashita (5'), Dudu (45')
Oct 25, 2020 5am
Sagan Tosu
2-2
Shonan Bellmare
Cho (34'), Hayashi (75')
Miya (66')
Barada (20'), Ibusuki (45+2')
Oct 21, 2020 11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!