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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Aug 31, 2022 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
4 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Chinen (26'), Schmidt (47'), Marcinho (56'), Oshima (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Seok-Ho (32'), Naganuma (79')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

Last Six:
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
62.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 20.98% (0.0019999999999989 0) 16.06% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.7% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)45.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)67.64% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23%13.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)41.21% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.029 0.03)77.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 62.94%
    Sagan Tosu 16.06%
    Draw 20.98%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 62.94%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.98%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.06%

Head to Head
May 21, 2022 9am
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Kawasaki

Koizumi (19'), Tashiro (90')

Taniguchi (82')
Nov 7, 2021 5am
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Kawasaki
Iwasaki (3'), Sakai (20'), Koyamatsu (32' pen.)
Nakano (83'), Sagara (90+3')
Damiao (90+1')
Apr 7, 2021 11am
Kawasaki
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Tono (65')
Tanaka (68')

Tashiro (57')
Dec 12, 2020 5am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Kawasaki
Lopez (86')
Taniguchi (57')
Feb 22, 2020 6am
Kawasaki
0-0
Sagan Tosu
Damiao (49')

Alves (80'), Harakawa (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Packers
20-19
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19-34
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28-27
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FT
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6-52
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FT
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28-22
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FT
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14-35
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16-18
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FT
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23-13
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9.05pm
Seahawks
@
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9.05pm
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@
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9.25pm
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629
> J1 League Full Table


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