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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 31, 2022 at 10am UK
IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse
3 - 3
Sagan Tosu

Shirasaki (62'), Kitagawa (81'), Thiago (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Iwasaki (4'), Naganuma (30'), Horigome (80')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

Last Six:
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Urawa
Saturday, July 16 at 10am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawSagan Tosu
30.36%27.74%41.89%
Both teams to score 47.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3%34.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.57%71.42% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.00099999999999056 0)27.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13%62.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 30.36%
    Sagan Tosu 41.89%
    Draw 27.73%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 6.9%
2-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.36%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 12.3%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 7.97%
1-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.89%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 7am
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
Sep 11, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Shirasaki (58'), Dudu (74')
Thiago (65')
Hara (23')
Mar 14, 2021 5am
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-0
Sagan Tosu

Hara (52')

Nakano (57')
Oct 18, 2020 6am
Shimizu S-Pulse
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Valdo (71')
Tatsuta (27'), Nishimura (52')
Hayashi (85')
Jul 22, 2020 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Harakawa (35')
Matsuoka (57')
Carlinhos (19')
Carlinhos (63'), Umeda (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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