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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 26, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
5 - 0
FC Tokyo

Iwasaki (30'), Diego (48'), Honda (70'), Kakita (78', 85')
Diego (42'), Seok-Ho (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

Last Six:
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
47.43% (-0.17 -0.17) 27.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.3% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)79.44% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)24.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.131 -0.13)59.56% (0.128 0.13)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (0.11 0.11)39.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (0.102 0.1)75.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 47.42%
    FC Tokyo 25.3%
    Draw 27.27%
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.3%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7am
FC Tokyo
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Slowik (51'), Yamashita (52'), Matsuki (70')
Horigome (81')
Harada (27'), Fukuta (28')
Aug 9, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-0
FC Tokyo
Sento (7')
Seok-Ho (59')

Oumari (31')
Apr 24, 2021 6am
FC Tokyo
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Morishige (53')
Ogawa (5')
Sakai (18'), Higuchi (34')
Matsuoka (46')
Sep 27, 2020 8am
Sagan Tosu
3-0
FC Tokyo
Ishii (26'), Morishita (59'), Uchida (74')

Bangunagande (61'), Watanabe (68'), Oliveira (72')
Aug 1, 2020 11am
FC Tokyo
2-3
Sagan Tosu
Leandro (39'), Hara (86')
Leandro (33'), Oliveira (44'), Muroya (45+3')
Ishii (29'), Morishita (43'), Cho (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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