Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashiwa Reysol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 2 at 11.30am in J1 League
Saturday, July 2 at 11.30am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Last Game: Reysol 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
15 | Kashiwa Reysol | 38 | -19 | 41 |
16 | Shonan Bellmare | 38 | -7 | 37 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
47.86% ( -0.31) | 26.43% ( 0.06) | 25.72% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 48.28% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.32% ( -0.03) | 55.68% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.17% ( -0.02) | 76.83% ( 0.03) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% ( -0.16) | 23.29% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.77% ( -0.23) | 57.23% ( 0.23) |
Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.93% ( 0.21) | 37.07% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.14% ( 0.21) | 73.86% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu 47.86%
Kashiwa Reysol 25.72%
Draw 26.42%
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.72% |
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 8am
Reysol
1-4
Sagan Tosu
Hosoya (55')
Honda (27'), Tashiro (45'), Fukuta (64'), Iino (82')
Koizumi (30'), Fujita (90+2')
Koizumi (30'), Fujita (90+2')
Aug 21, 2021 11am
Reysol
1-3
Sagan Tosu
Da Silva (37')
Segawa (49')
Segawa (49')
Higuchi (13'), Koyamatsu (31', 55')
Seok-Ho (75'), Park (90')
Seok-Ho (75'), Park (90')
Mar 17, 2021 10am
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Reysol
Hayashi (29', 64')
Tashiro (54')
Tashiro (54')
Nov 21, 2020 6am
Sep 13, 2020 10.45am
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Reysol
Hayashi (45' pen.), Harakawa (48')
Ryang (83')
Ryang (83')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 72 |
2 | Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 68 |
3 | Machida Zelvia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 66 |
4 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 66 |
5 | Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
6 | Tokyo Verdy | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 56 |
7 | FC Tokyo | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 54 |
8 | Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 52 |
9 | Yokohama F MarinosYokohama | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 52 |
10 | Cerezo OsakaCerezo | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 52 |
11 | Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 50 |
12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 50 |
13 | Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
14 | Kyoto Sanga | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 47 |
15 | Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 45 |
16 | Albirex Niigata | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 42 |
17 | Kashiwa ReysolReysol | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 41 |
18 | Jubilo Iwata | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 68 | -21 | 38 |
19 | Consadole SapporoConsadole | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 37 |
20 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 48 | 68 | -20 | 35 |
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