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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 10, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
0 - 1
Reysol


Kikuchi (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muto (19')
Kawaguchi (90+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 2 at 11.30am in J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol

Last Six:
Last Game: Reysol 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKashiwa Reysol
47.86% (-0.313 -0.31) 26.43% (0.058 0.06) 25.72% (0.259 0.26)
Both teams to score 48.28% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)55.68% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)76.83% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-0.155 -0.16)23.29% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)57.23% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (0.212 0.21)37.07% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.14% (0.209 0.21)73.86% (-0.205 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 47.86%
    Kashiwa Reysol 25.72%
    Draw 26.42%
Sagan TosuDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.86%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.72%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 8am
Reysol
1-4
Sagan Tosu
Hosoya (55')
Honda (27'), Tashiro (45'), Fukuta (64'), Iino (82')
Koizumi (30'), Fujita (90+2')
Aug 21, 2021 11am
Reysol
1-3
Sagan Tosu
Da Silva (37')
Segawa (49')
Higuchi (13'), Koyamatsu (31', 55')
Seok-Ho (75'), Park (90')
Mar 17, 2021 10am
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Reysol
Hayashi (29', 64')
Tashiro (54')
Nov 21, 2020 6am
Reysol
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Olunga (87')
Otani (45+1'), Richardson (84')
Hayashi (53'), Honda (66')
Sep 13, 2020 10.45am
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Reysol
Hayashi (45' pen.), Harakawa (48')
Ryang (83')
Olunga (25')
Mihara (59'), Nakama (82'), Richardson (88')
rhs 2.0
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