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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Oct 8, 2022 at 7am UK
 

Urawa
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Junker (40'), Koizumi (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miyashiro (62')
Diego (15'), Shimakawa (69')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 4-1 Urawa
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawSagan Tosu
59.2% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 21.94% (0.012 0.01) 18.86% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.19% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)44.81% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)67.17% (0.012 0.01)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)14.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)43.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (0.025999999999996 0.03)37.59% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (0.026 0.03)74.37% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 59.2%
    Sagan Tosu 18.86%
    Draw 21.94%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.62%
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 59.2%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 18.86%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 6am
Sagan Tosu
1-0
Urawa
Kakita (71')
Iino (88')
Aug 14, 2021 11am
Urawa
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Akimoto (36'), Esaka (84' pen.)
Yamashita (45+1')
Nakano (34'), Koizumi (62')
Mar 6, 2021 6am
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Urawa
Yamashita (62', 81')
Sento (12'), Matsuoka (23')
Oct 10, 2020 10am
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Urawa

Lopez (40'), Takahashi (72')
Yuruki (90+3')
Sekine (42')
Sep 9, 2020 11.30am
Urawa
2-2
Sagan Tosu
Koroki (48'), Muto (81')
Deng (5')
Cho (12'), Hayashi (60')
Matsuoka (3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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