MX23RW : Monday, January 27 16:55:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 16
Jun 3, 2023 at 7am UK
Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka

Shonan Bellmare
2 - 2
Albirex Niigata

Machino (2' pen.), Onose (83')
Oiwa (47'), Sugioka (70'), Okuno (72'), Takahashi (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taniguchi (30', 62')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, May 27 at 6am in J1 League

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawAlbirex Niigata
34.1% (-0.516 -0.52) 26.71% (-0.117 -0.12) 39.19% (0.63 0.63)
Both teams to score 51.62% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (0.396 0.4)53.38% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (0.334 0.33)74.92% (-0.337 -0.34)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (-0.134 -0.13)29.65% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.161 -0.16)65.69% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.539 0.54)26.63% (-0.541 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (0.708 0.71)61.86% (-0.71 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 34.1%
    Albirex Niigata 39.18%
    Draw 26.71%
Shonan BellmareDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 34.1%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.05 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.18%

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