MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 10:49:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 28, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Albirex Niigata
1 - 3
Gamba Osaka

Fitzgerald (48')
Shimada (6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kurata (2'), Alano (43'), Kurokawa (56')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, May 20 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-2 Yokohama
Saturday, May 20 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawGamba Osaka
46.95% (-0.317 -0.32) 25.87% (0.353 0.35) 27.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-1.109 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38% (-1.437 -1.44)52.62% (1.434 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.72% (-1.246 -1.25)74.27% (1.243 1.24)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)22.4% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (-1.122 -1.12)55.91% (1.119 1.12)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (-0.794 -0.79)34.19% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.11% (-0.86 -0.86)70.89% (0.85900000000001 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 46.95%
    Gamba Osaka 27.18%
    Draw 25.86%
Albirex NiigataDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.57% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 46.95%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.66% (0.425 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.287 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.18%

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