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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Nov 5, 2022 at 5am UK
Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium

Reysol
1 - 2
Shonan Bellmare

Koyamatsu (54')
Ominami (15'), Takahashi (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Machino (41'), Segawa (46')
Barada (12')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Reysol
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
36.4% (1.315 1.32) 27.49% (-0.207 -0.21) 36.11% (-1.113 -1.11)
Both teams to score 49.38% (0.679 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.7% (0.825 0.83)56.3% (-0.829 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.67% (0.663 0.66)77.33% (-0.667 -0.67)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (1.235 1.24)29.64% (-1.239 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (1.479 1.48)65.69% (-1.483 -1.48)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.276 -0.28)29.82% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (-0.331 -0.33)65.9% (0.327 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 36.39%
    Shonan Bellmare 36.11%
    Draw 27.48%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 10.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.227 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.235 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.197 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 36.39%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.11%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 6am
Shonan Bellmare
0-2
Reysol

Oiwa (11'), Segawa (90')
Oiwa (34')
Savio (68' pen.), Koyamatsu (75')
Moreira (87')
Jun 27, 2021 11am
Shonan Bellmare
2-4
Reysol
Machino (18'), Wellington (78')
Riuler (48')
Raul (50' pen., 90+12'), Ominami (90+3'), Da Silva (90+9')
Richardson (75'), Raul (82')
Mar 6, 2021 7am
Reysol
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Goya (14', 66')
Okamoto (43')
Oct 18, 2020 7am
Shonan Bellmare
3-2
Reysol
Okamoto (4'), Matsuda (78'), Ishihara (81')
Tachi (39'), Matsuda (90')
Olunga (22'), Kamiya (54')
da Silva (15'), Mihara (33'), Yamashita (51'), Olunga (90+3')
Jul 18, 2020 11am
Reysol
3-2
Shonan Bellmare
Olunga (19', 44' pen.), Nakama (70')
Kamiya (90+3')
Matsuda (63'), Ishihara (83')
Elyounoussi (32')
rhs 2.0
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