Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela2 - 2Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
| 18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
We said: Tondela 1-2 Arouca
Given the stakes of the game, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides taking the game to each other in search of all three points. While Tondela have managed just one draw from their last six home games, Arouca are unbeaten in three of their last four road games. That said, Arouca head into the game as slight favourites and we are backing them to come away with maximum points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Arouca |
| 40.17% | 26.34% | 33.49% |
| Both teams to score 52.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
