Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 3
Tondela

Alves (33' og.)
Andrade (11'), Rossi (40'), Joel (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Agra (12' pen.), Barbosa (86'), Dantas (90+6')
Undabarrena (17'), Hernando (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29
17	Tondela	34	-26	28
18	Belenenses	34	-32	26

Tondela's recent string of results has seen them drop deep into the wrong end of the table and they will head into Sunday's game in search of a morale-boosting victory. However, they face an evenly-matched Martimo side and we predict the spoils will be shared with both teams settling for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Tondela
46.6%	26.05%	27.35%

Both teams to score 50.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.76%

53.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.2%

74.8%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17%

22.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.45%

56.54%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.61%

34.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.9%

71.1%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 46.59%

Tondela 27.35%

Draw 26.04%

Maritimo	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.59%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Tondela

Maritimo

60.0%

Draw

40.0%

Tondela

0.0%

Head to Head

Nov 7, 2021 2pm

Tondela

4-2

Maritimo

Pedro (15' pen., 20' pen., 43' pen.), Augusto (90+9')
Undabarrena (30'), Trigueira (59'), Almeida (85')

Costa (75'), Alipour (90+1')
Andrade (11'), Costa (16'), Junior (19'), China (47'), Costa (61'), Costa (69'), Joel (90+2'), Xadas (90+8')
Pelagio (41')

Feb 16, 2021 5.45pm

Tondela

2-1

Maritimo

Murillo (22'), Gonzalez (52')
Grau (30'), Olabe (77'), Augusto (87'), Trigueira (90+2')

Joel (45')
Soderstrom (16'), Guitane (27'), Africo (71'), Sassa (74'), Costa (87')

Sep 26, 2020 3.30pm

Maritimo

2-1

Tondela

Pinho (34', 45')
Jean (27'), Hermes (65'), Costa (67'), Winck (85')
China (41')

Augusto Borges da Costa (43')
Bebeto (46'), Pedro (60')