MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 08:27:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
4 - 1
Crusaders

Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Bolger (48'), Gordon (82')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Lowry (90+2')
Barr (63')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Larne
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 0-2 Crusaders
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawCrusaders
45.69% (1.775 1.78) 26.4% (-0.154 -0.15) 27.91% (-1.619 -1.62)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.511 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72% (-0.196 -0.2)54.28% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (-0.164 -0.16)75.67% (0.166 0.17)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.773 0.77)23.7% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (1.102 1.1)57.82% (-1.099 -1.1)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (-1.345 -1.35)34.5% (1.347 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (-1.459 -1.46)71.22% (1.461 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Larne 45.69%
    Crusaders 27.91%
    Draw 26.39%
LarneDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.436 0.44)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.91%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-1
Larne
Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')
Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-2
Larne
Wilson (89')
McDaid (59', 72')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Larne
1-2
Crusaders
Jarvis (74')
(45'), (59'), (66')
Larmour (68'), Lecky (82')
(59'), (86')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Larne
1-0
Crusaders
Lynch (77')
Herron (22'), Sule (24'), Hale (90+4')

Wilson (12'), Joe Burns (28'), Heatley (52')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
1-0
Larne
Lecky (16')
McMurray (13'), Joe Burns (13'), Robinson (61'), Lecky (72'), Larmour (73')

Mitchell (13'), Bolger (61'), Randall (66'), McDaid (73'), Cosgrove (88'), Hughes (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield85211651117
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena95041412215
3LarneLarne742193614
4CliftonvilleCliftonville94231310314
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon942398114
6ColeraineColeraine8341139413
7GlentoranGlentoran941488013
8PortadownPortadown83321310312
9CrusadersCrusaders731357-210
10GlenavonGlenavon9234813-59
11Loughgall9126922-135
12Carrick RangersCarrick8107717-103
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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