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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 0
Ballymena

Lowry (29'), O'Rourke (33'), Forsythe (82')
(75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

(53'), (61')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Linfield
Friday, September 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
53.07% (-0.104 -0.1) 23.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.06% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.24% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.19% (0.075000000000003 0.08)47.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (0.068999999999999 0.07)69.99% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)17.96% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)48.8% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (0.131 0.13)35.1% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (0.136 0.14)71.85% (-0.13600000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 53.07%
    Ballymena United 23.06%
    Draw 23.87%
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 53.07%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 23.06%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
2-1
Ballymena
Lowry (9'), McMurray (65')
Forsythe (36')
Strain (52')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
2-0
Crusaders
Winchester (58'), McElroy (90+1')
Winchester (43')

Larmour (20'), (88'), (90+5')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
0-1
Crusaders
O'Rourke (13')
Joe Burns (86'), Wilson (87'), Weir (89')
Apr 2, 2021 7.30pm
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Ballymena
McGonigle (43'), Heatley (46')
Larmour (33'), O'Rourke (85'), Heatley (90')
McCready (12')
Ervin (83')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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