MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 08:22:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
 

Newry City AFC
1 - 2
Crusaders

Hughes (21')
(27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lowry (64'), Larmour (67')
(40'), (53'), (58')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newry City AFC

Last Six:
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Linfield
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

Last Six:
Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Portadown
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCrusaders
32.14% (-0.494 -0.49) 24.85% (-0.096 -0.1) 43.01% (0.59 0.59)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (0.263 0.26)45.91% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (0.248 0.25)68.22% (-0.248 -0.25)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.181 -0.18)27.22% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (-0.237 -0.24)62.65% (0.239 0.24)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.387 0.39)21.38% (-0.385 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (0.592 0.59)54.36% (-0.591 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 32.14%
    Crusaders 43.01%
    Draw 24.85%
Newry City AFCDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.01%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2019 7.45pm
Newry City AFC
0-1
Crusaders
Cushley (6')
Nov 2, 2018 7.45pm
Newry City AFC
0-3
Crusaders
Patterson (49'), Heatley (78', 95')
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Crusaders
1-0
Newry City AFC
Heatley (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield85211651117
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena95041412215
3LarneLarne742193614
4CliftonvilleCliftonville94231310314
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon942398114
6ColeraineColeraine8341139413
7GlentoranGlentoran941488013
8PortadownPortadown83321310312
9CrusadersCrusaders731357-210
10GlenavonGlenavon9234813-59
11Loughgall9126922-135
12Carrick RangersCarrick8107717-103
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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