MX23RW : Thursday, April 24 14:49:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 2
Glenavon

Lowry (44'), Lecky (64', 69')
Weir (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (38'), Scannell (50')
Kerr (68')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 0-0 Crusaders
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 5-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawGlenavon
49.48% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2) 24.24% (-0.02 -0.02) 26.27% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.271 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (0.26600000000001 0.27)46.51% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (0.248 0.25)68.78% (-0.246 -0.25)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)18.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)50.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (0.315 0.31)31.67% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (0.361 0.36)68.08% (-0.36 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 49.48%
    Glenavon 26.27%
    Draw 24.24%
CrusadersDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.48%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 26.27%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
0-0
Glenavon

Forsythe (45'), (65')

Snoddy (45')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
0-1
Glenavon

Robinson (63'), McMurray (85')
Campbell (9')
O'Connor (45+3'), Garrett (58')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
1-0
Crusaders
Fitzpatrick (85')
Singleton (38'), Snoddy (48'), O'Connor (50')

Forsythe (22'), Hegarty (33'), O'Rourke (67'), Weir (69'), Caddell (90')
Weir (70')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Crusaders
6-1
Glenavon
Lowry (18'), Heatley (25', 68'), Clarke (47'), McGonigle (75', 79')
Fitzpatrick (8')
Doyle (59')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
0-1
Glenavon

Wilson (46')
McCloskey (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LinfieldLinfield37274669274285
2LarneLarne371711946331362
3GlentoranGlentoran371791149371260
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon37166155048254
5CrusadersCrusaders37166154752-554
6ColeraineColeraine371410135450452
Relegation Round
1CliftonvilleCliftonville371671454401455
2PortadownPortadown37158144644253
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena37145184652-647
4GlenavonGlenavon371110163847-943
5Carrick RangersCarrick37711193255-2332
6Loughgall3757253581-4622
 
Regular Season
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
7CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
8PortadownPortadown33137133938146
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
10GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
11Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
12Loughgall3346232971-4218


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!