NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mourneview Park
Glenavon1 - 5Newry City AFC
FT(HT: 0-3)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Newry City AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coleraine 1-3 Glenavon
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Carrick Rangers | 4 | -1 | 6 |
8 | Glenavon | 3 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Ballymena United | 4 | -2 | 4 |
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-2 Crusaders
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Ballymena United | 4 | -2 | 4 |
10 | Newry City AFC | 3 | -4 | 0 |
11 | Dungannon Swifts | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newry City AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Glenavon | Draw | Newry City AFC |
32.63% ( 1.72) | 25.66% ( -0.02) | 41.72% ( -1.7) |
Both teams to score 54.67% ( 0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.7% ( 0.67) | 49.3% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% ( 0.6) | 71.35% ( -0.6) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.42% ( 1.47) | 28.58% ( -1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.62% ( 1.81) | 64.38% ( -1.81) |
Newry City AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( -0.53) | 23.45% ( 0.53) |