Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
