Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
