Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Larne in this match.