Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Larne had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.