Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.