Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 59.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.