Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 67.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.