Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
36.36% ( 0.58) | 25.87% ( -0.03) | 37.78% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 54.68% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.4% ( 0.18) | 49.6% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% ( 0.16) | 71.62% ( -0.16) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( 0.42) | 26.45% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.37% ( 0.56) | 61.63% ( -0.56) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.34% ( -0.22) | 25.65% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( -0.3) | 60.55% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.23% Total : 36.36% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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