Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Barnet |
29.35% (![]() | 25.5% (![]() | 45.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.07% (![]() | 49.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.08% (![]() | 71.91% (![]() |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.87% (![]() | 31.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.54% (![]() | 67.46% (![]() |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.91% (![]() | 22.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.55% (![]() | 55.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Barnet |
1-0 @ 8.02% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.82% ( ![]() Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 12.11% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 10.38% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 67 |
2 | York City | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 63 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 62 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
5 | Gateshead | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 52 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 51 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 49 |
8 | Rochdale | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 44 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 43 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 42 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 42 |
13 | Eastleigh | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 39 |
15 | Tamworth | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 39 |
16 | Woking | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 35 |
17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 34 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 34 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 30 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 29 |
22 | Fylde | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 29 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 20 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 32 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 69 | -48 | 13 |
> National League Full Table |