National League | Gameweek 9
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Rochdale4 - 2Barnet
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Barnet.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Rochdale
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 3-0 Altrincham
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Barnet |
43.09% ( -0.04) | 25.61% ( 0) | 31.29% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.45% ( 0.01) | 49.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.42% ( 0) | 71.57% ( -0.01) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( -0.02) | 22.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.36% ( -0.03) | 56.64% ( 0.02) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( 0.03) | 29.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.39% ( 0.04) | 65.61% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Rochdale 43.09%
Barnet 31.29%
Draw 25.61%
| Rochdale | Draw | Barnet |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.29% |
