Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
America Mineiro5 - 1Colo-Colo
Matheusinho (6', 25'), Mastriani (21', 85'), Gabriel Saldivia Vazquez (90+4' og.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Thompson (62')
Pavez (74')
Pavez (74')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 America Mineiro (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 8.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Saturday, July 15 at 8.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 America Mineiro
Tuesday, July 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, July 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
We said: America Mineiro 1-1 Colo-Colo (Colo-Colo win 3-2 on aggregate)
Colo-Colo come into this clash with momentum, and that should be enough to secure a draw against America in Brazil, assuring the Chilean side of passage into the round of 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Colo-Colo |
| 51.72% | 24.91% | 23.36% |
| Both teams to score 50.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
