Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Atletico Mineiro2 - 2America Mineiro
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 1-2 America Mineiro
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 America Mineiro
America have already conceded at least two goals on 10 separate occasions this season, so faced with an Atletico attack led by veteran striker Hulk, they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet at Mineirao. That should lead to three wins from three for Galo in the derby this year. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | America Mineiro |
66.52% ( -1.26) | 20.84% ( 0.37) | 12.63% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 42.64% ( 1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
