Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.