We said: Dallas 1-1 FC Cincinnati
Sunday's game promises to be an intriguing one, and while FC Cincinnati have enjoyed the far stronger season thus far, their hosts are gaining confidence and improving under new management.
The hosts' encouraging run, combined with a growing list of absentees for the Orange and Blue, could result in a share of the spoils in Texas.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Dallas win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.