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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
FC Dallas

New England
1 - 1
Dallas

Burgess (66')
Polster (20'), Arreaga (30'), Wood (70'), Kessler (90+4'), Ivacic (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arriola (90+5' pen.)
Luccin (21'), Ibeagha (36'), Burgess (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 New England
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-1 Austin
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-1 Dallas

New England Revolution have been poor at both ends of the pitch all-season long and Dallas will be looking to heap more misery this weekend. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawDallas
46.55% (0.129 0.13) 24.64% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 28.82% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.213 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (0.296 0.3)46.5% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.278 0.28)68.78% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (0.175 0.17)20.06% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (0.281 0.28)52.28% (-0.28 -0.28)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.24% (0.114 0.11)29.76% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.17% (0.137 0.14)65.83% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 46.55%
    Dallas 28.82%
    Draw 24.63%
New England RevolutionDrawDallas
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.55%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 28.82%

How you voted: New England vs Dallas

New England Revolution
41.4%
Draw
20.7%
Dallas
37.9%
29
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
New England
1-0
Dallas
Gil (45+2' pen.)
Altidore (70'), Polster (78')

Pomykal (22'), Obrian (53')
Jun 28, 2021 2am
Gameweek 14
Dallas
2-1
New England
Acosta (18'), Megiolaro (41'), Obrian (71')
Polster (28'), Bunbury (75')
Mar 2, 2019 9.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dallas
1-1
New England
Barrios (13')
Ziegler (56'), Badji (71')
Gil (57')
Zahibo (19'), Delamea Mlinar (70')
Apr 15, 2018 12.30am
Mar 19, 2017 12am
Dallas
2-1
New England
Urruti (71', 77')
Lamah (37'), Figueroa (54'), Barrios (89')
Nguyen (10')
Agudelo (73')
rhs 2.0
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