Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.