Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
58.99% ( 3.07) | 21.09% ( -0.79) | 19.92% ( -2.28) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.64% ( 0.59) | 39.36% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.3% ( 0.62) | 61.7% ( -0.62) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.94% ( 1.13) | 13.06% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.36% ( 2.26) | 39.64% ( -2.26) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.69% ( -1.8) | 33.31% ( 1.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.07% ( -2.03) | 69.93% ( 2.03) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.4) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.6% Total : 58.99% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.47) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.24% Total : 19.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 62 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 50 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 43 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 40 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Toronto | 29 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 36 |
9 | DC United | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 33 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 31 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 30 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 48 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 47 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 46 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 45 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Dallas | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 28 |
13 | St Louis City | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 28 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 17 |