Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Atlanta United |
39.07% ( 0.49) | 24.44% ( 0.36) | 36.48% ( -0.85) |
Both teams to score 59.76% ( -1.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.94% ( -1.81) | 43.06% ( 1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.54% ( -1.81) | 65.46% ( 1.82) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.97% ( -0.55) | 22.03% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.64% ( -0.84) | 55.36% ( 0.85) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.64% ( -1.26) | 23.36% ( 1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.67% ( -1.87) | 57.33% ( 1.87) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.08% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.18% Total : 36.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 59 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 49 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 37 |
8 | Toronto | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 33 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 30 |
11 | DC United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 29 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 27 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 26 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 47 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 41 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
8 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Dallas | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 33 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 27 |
13 | St Louis City | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 27 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 17 |