Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.