We said: DC United 2-1 Atlanta United
Although their worrying winless run remains intact, DC United have been relatively impressive in matches with Toronto and Charlotte over the past fortnight.
Atlanta are without a number of their first-team stars for the trip to Washington on Wednesday, and we feel that major absences will result in a narrow defeat for the Five Stripes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.