Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Alaves |
49.29% ( 0.47) | 25.05% ( -0.07) | 25.66% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 52.31% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.62% ( -0.02) | 50.37% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.69% ( -0.02) | 72.31% ( 0.02) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( 0.19) | 20.45% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.09% ( 0.3) | 52.91% ( -0.3) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% ( -0.35) | 34.23% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.07% ( -0.37) | 70.93% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |