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Mallorca logo
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Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves logo

Villarreal
1 - 1
Alaves

Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Betis
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 1-0 Alaves

A scrappy 1-0 win would do Villarreal here, as it is a result and not a performance that they need most at this moment in time. Alaves are capable of making it an uncomfortable match, but we believe that the home side will have enough quality to secure a much-needed three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlaves
49.29% (0.467 0.47) 25.05% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 25.66% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 52.31% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)50.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (-0.023 -0.02)72.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.18599999999999 0.19)20.45% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (0.299 0.3)52.91% (-0.303 -0.3)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)34.23% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.372 -0.37)70.93% (0.36800000000001 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 49.29%
    Alaves 25.66%
    Draw 25.05%
VillarrealDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves

Villarreal
70.5%
Draw
18.2%
Alaves
11.4%
44
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')
Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')
Sep 30, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
3-1
Alaves
Alcacer (13', 67'), Moreno (45' pen.)
Mendez (36')
Laguardia (74'), Navarro (82')
(89')
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Alaves
1-2
Villarreal
Joselu (80')
Ely (45'), Duarte (82')
Bacca (10'), Nino (89')
Quintilla (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17Espanyol2054111932-1319
18AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
19Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
20Valencia1927101829-1113


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