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Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 4
Dec 21, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
Alaves logo

Villarreal
5 - 2
Alaves

Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')

Preview: Villarreal vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

In-form Villarreal welcome Alaves to Estadio de la Ceramica looking to pick up a fifth consecutive win across all competitions.

Meanwhile, the away side have failed to come out on top in any of their last four outings and will aim to put an end to this barren run of results.


Match preview

Villarreal's Pau Torres celebrates with teammates as Villarreal qualify for the last 16 of the Champions League on December 9, 2021© Reuters

Villarreal recorded their first away league victory of the campaign on Saturday courtesy of a 3-1 triumph over Real Sociedad at the Reale Arena.

Unai Emery's men went behind to Alexander Isak's 32nd-minute opener but drew level six minutes later through Gerard Moreno before second-half strikes from the aforementioned Moreno and Samuel Chukwueze completed the turnaround.

The Yellow Submarine are 11th in the table at the moment having amassed maximum points from each of their last two league matches.

Next up is the challenge of an opposing outfit against against whom they have a mixed record in recent seasons with the last eight meetings yielding four wins apiece for either side.

Seeking to round up the year in style, Tuesday's hosts have an opportunity to climb into the top half of La Liga standings by securing all three points in this one.

Alaves were beaten for the third away game running following a 2-0 defeat to Rayo Vallecano on Saturday.

First-half goals from Sergio Guardiola and Alejandro Catena put Javier Calleja's men to the sword at Estadio de Vallecas.

Consequently, Babazorros El Glorioso have now slipped into the relegation zone albeit only on goal difference as the season approaches its midway point.

Tuesday's hosts, who have only managed one away league win all-season long, are now faced with another stern test on the road against one of the league's hotshots.

Villarreal La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

Villarreal form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Alaves La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Alaves form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Thirty-year-old Ruben Pena will not feature for the home side as he continues to nurse a shoulder injury.

Villarreal will also be without the services of Francis Coquelin, who remains sidelined with an achilles tendon injury.

Samuel Chukwueze has found the back of the net four times in his last six appearances and is one to keep an eye on.

Ximo Navarro is set to sit out a 10th consecutive game due to a knee injury which he picked up in a 1-1 draw versus Barcelona in October.

The involvement of Tomas Pina is still uncertain as he is yet to fully recuperate from a muscle problem.

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Rulli; Estupinan, Torres, Albiol, Foyth; Moreno, Parejo, Capoue, Chukwueze; Dia, Moreno

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Duarte, Laguardia, Tachi, Martin; Ndiaye, Moya, Pons; Rioja, Joselu, De la Fuente


SM words green background

We say: Villarreal 2-1 Alaves

Villarreal have struggled on home turf this term while Alaves have been abysmal on their travels. We expect a tightly-contested affair with a narrow victory for the hosts come the full-time whistle.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 15.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves

Villarreal
93.3%
Draw
3.7%
Alaves
3.1%
163
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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