La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves0 - 2Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Alaves
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Cadiz
Saturday, September 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, September 16 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Alaves 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Alaves have been strong at home this season, and they are capable of making this a tricky match for Athletic. It would certainly not be a surprise to see an away win, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in this all-Basque clash. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 1-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
31.29% ( 0.05) | 30.06% ( -0.01) | 38.65% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.53% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.38% ( 0.02) | 65.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.68% ( 0.02) | 84.32% ( -0.02) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( 0.05) | 38.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.19% ( 0.05) | 74.81% ( -0.05) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( -0.01) | 32.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.44% ( -0.01) | 69.56% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Alaves 31.29%
Athletic Bilbao 38.64%
Draw 30.06%
| Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 31.29% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.06% | 0-1 @ 13.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.64% |
How you voted: Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao
Alaves
14.0%Draw
21.5%Athletic Bilbao
64.5%93
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Apr 10, 2021 3.15pm
Form Guide
