Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.