Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.