Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Edinburgh1 - 4East Kilbride
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Edinburgh City and East Kilbride.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stirling 0-3 East Kilbride
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Falkirk | 14 | 2.80 | Maciver |
| 2 | QotS | 12 | 2.40 | Reilly |
| 3 | Hamilton | 9 | 1.80 | One |
| 4 | Alloa | 7 | 1.40 | Rodden |
| 5 | Annan | 6 | 1.20 | Docherty |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 1.20 | Burrell |
| 7 | Montrose | 6 | 1.20 | Brown |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 1.00 | Cunningham |
| 9 | Stirling | 5 | 1.00 | Cooper |
| 10 | Edinburgh | 3 | 0.60 | Murray |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-3 (6.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Kilbride would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | East Kilbride |
13.09% ( 0.89) | 14.52% ( 1.01) | 72.38% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 68.35% ( -1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
