Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 0-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 2-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.