Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 86.41%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 4.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 4-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.4%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.