Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.