Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.