Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 64.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.